The Miami Heat have been defying all odds in the 2023 NBA Finals, tying the series with the Denver Nuggets after a victory on Sunday. A strong betting trend has also emerged, with the winner of a Finals game being 68-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 69 games when the betting line is set at -6 or less. This trend suggests that laying the points at -105 is a better bet than taking the Nuggets moneyline at -149 for Game 3. On the other hand, those looking to bet on Miami should take the moneyline at +110 instead of the spread at -118.
The Heat's success can also be attributed to their ability to identify and develop undrafted talent. They have nine undrafted players on their roster, five of whom have contributed significantly during the NBA Finals. The Heat's player development skills and organization's scouting have allowed these players to grind their way into becoming NBA rotation players.
Jimmy Butler, known as "Playoff Jimmy" for his remarkable performances in the postseason, has not put up eye-catching numbers in the NBA Finals against the Denver Nuggets. However, he is proud of his contributions to the team so far, which include guarding Jamal Murray and finishing with a team-high nine assists in Game 2. The Chicago Bulls draftee has made a name for himself by elevating his game in the playoffs and has scored 35-plus points four times in his career.
In addition, Bam Adebayo is expected to have a strong series scoring against Denver after his stock dipped during the Eastern Conference Finals. He scored 26 and 21 points in Games 1 and 2, respectively, and is expected to get more touches and separation in the upcoming games.
The Miami Heat's strong team identity and home-court advantage will be key to securing their fourth championship in team history. With their undrafted talent and strong player development skills, the Heat have proven to be a force to be reckoned with in the NBA Finals.